Wanderers vs Cerrito: result 1-3 and analysis
Copa UruguayGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Wanderers vs Cerrito?
Cerrito won 1-3 on September 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 24′575497Cerrito
- 45′S. OrmeñoWanderers
- 50′575497Cerrito
- 90′652034Cerrito
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Wanderers win at 56%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wanderers have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Cerrito have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 1-4 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cerro(home) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 2-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 0-2 | Copa Uruguay |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Wanderers wins, 1 draw, 0 Cerrito wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | Wanderers 2-1 Cerrito | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 22, 2022 | Cerrito 0-2 Wanderers | Primera División |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Cerrito 2-2 Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 29, 2021 | Wanderers 1-0 Cerrito | Primera División |
| May 19, 2012 | Cerrito 1-2 Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Wanderers score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cerrito score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wanderers | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Cerrito | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Wanderers vs Cerrito?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy