Danubio vs Penarol: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 6Kick-off on April 1, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Penarol?
Danubio won 3-2 on April 1, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 43′Maximiliano Daniel Pérez TambascoPenarol
- 47′Diego Andrés Martiñones RusDanubio
- 61′L. AguiarPenarol
- 65′Diego Andrés Martiñones RusDanubio
- 84′Diego Andrés Martiñones RusDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Penarol have 4, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 11, 2012 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 26, 2012 | Rentistas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 4-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Cerro Largo(home) | 4-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 29, 2012 | Bella Vista(home) | 4-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 25, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 5; Penarol score 3.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 5/5 | 2/5 |
| Penarol | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División - Clausura (43 points from 37 matches) and Penarol sit 2nd (78 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 11 | Danubio | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy