Danubio vs Progreso: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 4Kick-off on February 23, 2025 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Danubio vs Progreso?
Danubio and Progreso drew 1-1 on February 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 54′M. VieraProgreso
- 90′E. VelázquezDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 3 wins, 10 draws and 2 defeats; Progreso have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Juventud(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 1-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Penarol(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Penarol(home) | 1-5 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Danubio win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Progreso 0-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Danubio 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Progreso 2-2 Danubio | Copa Uruguay |
| Feb 15, 2021 | Danubio 0-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Progreso 1-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Progreso 2-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.8 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Progreso | 0.8 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy