Darlington 1883 vs AFC Hornchurch: result 1-2 and analysis
FA TrophyQuarter-finalsKick-off on February 27, 2021 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blackwell Meadows, Darlington, Durham
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What was the result of Darlington 1883 vs AFC Hornchurch?
AFC Hornchurch won 1-2 on February 27, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 26′L. NashAFC Hornchurch
- 45′Érico SousaDarlington 1883
- 54′S. HigginsAFC Hornchurch (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darlington 1883 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Hornchurch have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | Wealdstone(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Weymouth(away) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Farsley Celtic FC(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Jan 5, 2021 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Dec 28, 2020 | Blyth Spartans(home) | 6-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 5-4 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 16, 2021 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 15, 2020 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Darlington 1883 score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Hornchurch score 2.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlington 1883 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Hornchurch | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy