AFC Hornchurch vs Sutton Utd: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Hornchurch Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Sutton Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Hornchurch wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Sutton Utd?
On Elo ratings, AFC Hornchurch has 1,831 points and Sutton Utd 1,759.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Hornchurch vs Sutton Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Hornchurch
4-3-3- 30R. Loft
- 11H. Sandat
- 18M. Weston
- 8T. Wraight
- 14Charlie Pegrum
- 27Alfie Massey
- 2W. Greenidge
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 3R. Inniss
- 5J. Baldwin
- 1A. Nasta
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 9T. Babalola
- 18D. Ogbonna
- 16B. Njoku
- 7E. Osadebe
- 10C. Carter
- 8J. Taylor
- 27B. Brookes
- 12D. Urpens
- 4A. Kirk
- 15J. Moore-Taylor
- 1S. Brits
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Hornchurch have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Sutton Utd have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 2-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 AFC Hornchurch wins, 0 draws, 1 Sutton Utd win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2024 | AFC Hornchurch 0-3 Sutton Utd | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: AFC Hornchurch vs Sutton Utd on Jul 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Hornchurch score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sutton Utd score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Sutton Utd | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Hornchurch sit 15th in National League (21 points from 16 matches) and Sutton Utd sit 11th (24 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | 24 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 21 |
A question about AFC Hornchurch vs Sutton Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Hornchurch vs Sutton Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Hornchurch the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Sutton Utd.
- Where and when is AFC Hornchurch vs Sutton Utd played?
- AFC Hornchurch vs Sutton Utd is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Hornchurch Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.