Dauphins Noirs vs Céleste: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Volcans, Goma
The Footlab AI model makes Dauphins Noirs the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Céleste. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dauphins Noirs vs Céleste?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Dauphins Noirs (1,683) and Céleste (1,589).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dauphins Noirs vs Céleste
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dauphins Noirs
Not enough data to predict the Dauphins Noirs lineup.
Céleste
Not enough data to predict the Céleste lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dauphins Noirs have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Céleste have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | FC Renaissance(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | JSK(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Vita Club(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Motema Pembe(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Anges Verts(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | TP Mazembe(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dauphins Noirs wins, 1 draw, 1 Céleste win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Dauphins Noirs 3-2 Céleste | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Céleste 1-0 Dauphins Noirs | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Dauphins Noirs 1-0 Céleste | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Céleste 0-1 Dauphins Noirs | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Dauphins Noirs 0-0 Céleste | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Céleste 0-1 Dauphins Noirs | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Dauphins Noirs vs Céleste on Feb 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dauphins Noirs score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Céleste score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauphins Noirs | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Céleste | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dauphins Noirs sit 4th in Ligue 1 (45 points from 26 matches) and Céleste sit 5th (44 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 20 | 45 |
| 5 | Céleste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36 | 13 | 44 |
A question about Dauphins Noirs vs Céleste?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dauphins Noirs vs Céleste?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dauphins Noirs the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Céleste.
- Where and when is Dauphins Noirs vs Céleste played?
- Dauphins Noirs vs Céleste is played on December 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Volcans, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.