Etoile de Kivu vs JSK: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Concorde, Bukavu
The Footlab AI model makes JSK the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Etoile de Kivu. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etoile de Kivu vs JSK?
JSK starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,537).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Etoile de Kivu vs JSK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Etoile de Kivu
Not enough data to predict the Etoile de Kivu lineup.
JSK
Not enough data to predict the JSK lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 09:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etoile de Kivu have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; JSK have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | New Jack(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Motema Pembe(home) | 1-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | JSK(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Novakin(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Étoile du Congo(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | APR(away) | 0-3 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | APR(home) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Etoile de Kivu win, 1 draw, 4 JSK wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Etoile de Kivu 2-2 JSK | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | JSK 1-0 Etoile de Kivu | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Etoile de Kivu 1-0 JSK | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Etoile de Kivu 0-1 JSK | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | JSK 2-0 Etoile de Kivu | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 10, 2022 | JSK 1-0 Etoile de Kivu | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Etoile de Kivu score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; JSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etoile de Kivu | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| JSK | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | JSK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Etoile de Kivu vs JSK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etoile de Kivu vs JSK?
- The Footlab AI model makes JSK the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Etoile de Kivu.
- Where and when is Etoile de Kivu vs JSK played?
- Etoile de Kivu vs JSK is played on December 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Concorde, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.