De Graafschap vs Waalwijk: result 1-3 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 16, 2011 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
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What was the result of De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
Waalwijk won 1-3 on December 16, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 16′M. de LeeuwDe Graafschap
- 38′F. van MosselveldWaalwijk
- 65′A. van PeppenWaalwijk
- 87′Jochem JansenWaalwijk (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Waalwijk have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Roda(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 26, 2011 | VVV Venlo(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 19, 2011 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 6, 2011 | Twente(away) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2011 | Ajax(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Vitesse(away) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 27, 2011 | Feyenoord(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Heerenveen(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Groningen(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Waalwijk score 0.8 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Waalwijk | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy