De Kempen vs Diegem Sport: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Staf Janssensstadion, Tielen
The Footlab model makes De Kempen the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Diegem Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Kempen vs Diegem Sport?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate De Kempen (1,783) and Diegem Sport (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Kempen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Diegem Sport have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Rotselaar(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Noordstar Noorderwijk(home) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lommel II(home) | 4-0 | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Turnhout(away) | 2-2 | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sint-Lenaarts(home) | 2-3 | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(home) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 3-6 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ninove(home) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 1-5 | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
De Kempen score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Diegem Sport score 1.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Kempen | 2.2 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Diegem Sport | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Diegem Sport | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 66 | 33 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Kempen vs Diegem Sport?
- The Footlab model makes De Kempen the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Diegem Sport.
- Where and when is De Kempen vs Diegem Sport played?
- De Kempen vs Diegem Sport is played on September 26, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Staf Janssensstadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.