Wellen vs Racing Mechelen: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)KVK Wellen Sportcomplex, Wellen
The Footlab model makes Wellen the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Racing Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wellen vs Racing Mechelen?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Wellen (1,733) and Racing Mechelen (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wellen have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Racing Mechelen have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sint-Truiden II(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Berchem Sport(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Rupel Boom(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Tongeren(away) | 0-6 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rupel Boom(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hades(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bocholt(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Sint-Truiden II(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Eendracht Termien(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wellen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Racing Mechelen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Wellen 2-1 Racing Mechelen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Racing Mechelen 1-1 Wellen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Wellen 1-3 Racing Mechelen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Racing Mechelen 2-1 Wellen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Racing Mechelen 2-0 Wellen | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Wellen 3-0 Racing Mechelen | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
Last archived meeting: Wellen vs Racing Mechelen on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wellen score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellen | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Racing Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wellen sit 12th in Second Amateur Division - VFV B (32 points from 30 matches) and Racing Mechelen sit 6th (46 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Racing Mechelen | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 47 | 45 | 46 |
| 12 | Wellen | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 37 | 56 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wellen vs Racing Mechelen?
- The Footlab model makes Wellen the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Racing Mechelen.
- Where and when is Wellen vs Racing Mechelen played?
- Wellen vs Racing Mechelen is played on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at KVK Wellen Sportcomplex, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.