De Kempen vs Sint-Truiden II: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Staf Janssensstadion, Tielen
The Footlab model makes De Kempen the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Sint-Truiden II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Kempen vs Sint-Truiden II?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate De Kempen (1,782) and Sint-Truiden II (1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Kempen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sint-Truiden II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Rotselaar(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Noordstar Noorderwijk(home) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lommel II(home) | 4-0 | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Turnhout(away) | 2-2 | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sint-Lenaarts(home) | 2-3 | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Wellen(away) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nijlen(home) | 5-5 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Berg en Dal(away) | 2-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Racing Mechelen(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Londerzeel(away) | 5-4 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
How many goals should we expect?
De Kempen score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sint-Truiden II score 2.7 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Kempen | 2.2 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Sint-Truiden II | 2.7 | 2.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sint-Truiden II | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Kempen vs Sint-Truiden II?
- The Footlab model makes De Kempen the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Sint-Truiden II.
- Where and when is De Kempen vs Sint-Truiden II played?
- De Kempen vs Sint-Truiden II is played on September 5, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Staf Janssensstadion, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.