Tongeren vs Cappellen: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)SportOase Eburons Dome, Tongeren
The Footlab model makes Cappellen the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Tongeren. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tongeren vs Cappellen?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Tongeren (1,712) and Cappellen (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tongeren have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Cappellen have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-10 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Berchem Sport(home) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rupel Boom(away) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Eendracht Termien(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Royal Antwerp II(away) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Wellen(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Londerzeel(away) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Tongeren(home) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Tongeren win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cappellen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cappellen 2-2 Tongeren | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Tongeren 0-7 Cappellen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Tongeren 5-2 Cappellen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Cappellen 2-2 Tongeren | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
Last archived meeting: Cappellen vs Tongeren on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tongeren score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cappellen score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongeren | 1.5 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Cappellen | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tongeren | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tongeren vs Cappellen?
- The Footlab model makes Cappellen the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Tongeren.
- Where and when is Tongeren vs Cappellen played?
- Tongeren vs Cappellen is played on September 5, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at SportOase Eburons Dome, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.