Dečić vs Arsenal Tivat: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tuško Polje, Tuzi
The Footlab AI model makes Dečić the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Arsenal Tivat. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dečić vs Arsenal Tivat?
Dečić starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,525 vs 1,414).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dečić vs Arsenal Tivat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dečić
4-3-3- 11U. Djuranovic
- 10M. Đokaj
- 9I. Camaj
- 27D. Kontić
- 16M. Božanović
- 74Petar Pavlićević
- 29N. Braunović
- 15P. Ljuljdjuraj
- 22J. Drešaj
- 17L. Ujkaj
- 25D. Radošević
Arsenal Tivat
4-3-3- 9I. Vukčević
- 23Y. S. Sesay
- 16V. Kašćelan
- 8I. Šahman
- 88Abdulsamed Ahmed Abdullahi
- 15P. Malisic
- 5G. PetoviÄ
- 13Z. Mikijelj
- 27A. Kralj
- 26M. Zivanovic
- 1B. Zogović
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dečić have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Arsenal Tivat have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Petrovac(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Grbalj(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sutjeska(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Petrovac(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Mladost DG(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Jezero(away) | 2-5 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dečić wins, 2 draws, 2 Arsenal Tivat wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dečić 0-0 Arsenal Tivat | First League |
| May 20, 2026 | Dečić 1-2 Arsenal Tivat | First League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat 0-1 Dečić | First League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Dečić 4-2 Arsenal Tivat | First League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Arsenal Tivat 1-1 Dečić | First League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Arsenal Tivat 1-0 Dečić | First League |
Last archived meeting: Dečić vs Arsenal Tivat on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dečić score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Tivat score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dečić | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Arsenal Tivat | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dečić sit 4th in First League (15 points from 9 matches) and Arsenal Tivat sit 10th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dečić | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tivat | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Dečić vs Arsenal Tivat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dečić vs Arsenal Tivat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dečić the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Arsenal Tivat.
- Where and when is Dečić vs Arsenal Tivat played?
- Dečić vs Arsenal Tivat is played on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tuško Polje, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.