Jezero vs Mornar: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion pod Racinom, Plav
The Footlab AI model makes Mornar the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Jezero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mornar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jezero vs Mornar?
Mornar starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,623 vs 1,464).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jezero vs Mornar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jezero
4-3-3- 30D. Jovanovic
- 7A. Škrijelj
- 45M. Raičević
- 10U. Bulatovic
- 6N. Jovićević
- 8I. Redzepagic
- 2Abdel Osmanović
- 11I. Tučević
- 22Matija Bojović
- 4N. Fatic
- 50I. Asanović
Mornar
4-3-3- 11Y. Yao
- 9A. Soussi
- 20N. Medojević
- 97Petar Vukčević
- 17J. Dašić
- 10D. Škrijelj
- 33N. Stijepović
- 6I. Martinović
- 32V. Ljutica
- 15J. Baošić
- 24Benjamin Krijestarac
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jezero have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mornar have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lovćen(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Mornar(away) | 3-3 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Jezero(home) | 3-3 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dečić(away) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Jezero wins, 2 draws, 4 Mornar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Mornar 3-3 Jezero | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jezero 0-0 Mornar | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Jezero 0-2 Mornar | First League |
| May 6, 2026 | Jezero 1-2 Mornar | Cup |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Mornar 1-0 Jezero | Cup |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mornar 2-0 Jezero | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Jezero score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mornar score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jezero | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Mornar | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jezero sit 8th in First League (11 points from 11 matches) and Mornar sit 3rd (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mornar | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Jezero | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
A question about Jezero vs Mornar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jezero vs Mornar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mornar the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Jezero.
- Where and when is Jezero vs Mornar played?
- Jezero vs Mornar is played on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion pod Racinom, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.