Defensa Y Justicia vs Penarol: result 4-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on May 5, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela, Provincia de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of Defensa Y Justicia vs Penarol?
Defensa Y Justicia won 4-1 on May 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 39′A. Sant'AnnaDefensa Y Justicia
- 45′A. Sant'AnnaDefensa Y Justicia
- 58′S. RodríguezPenarol
- 70′N. FernándezDefensa Y Justicia
- 80′G. TogniDefensa Y Justicia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensa Y Justicia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Penarol have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2023 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Barracas Central(away) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 20, 2023 | America Mineiro(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Banfield(away) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2023 | Fenix(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2023 | Millonarios(home) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Danubio(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Defensa Y Justicia score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensa Y Justicia | 1.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Penarol | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy