Match

Delfines Coatzacoalcos vs Real Refineros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)

Delfines CoatzacoalcosReal Refineros

The Footlab model makes Delfines Coatzacoalcos the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Real Refineros. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Delfines Coatzacoalcos vs Real Refineros?

Delfines Coatzacoalcos win46 %
Draw26 %
Real Refineros win28 %

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Delfines Coatzacoalcos vs Real Refineros?
The Footlab model makes Delfines Coatzacoalcos the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Real Refineros.
Where and when is Delfines Coatzacoalcos vs Real Refineros played?
Delfines Coatzacoalcos vs Real Refineros is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Delfines Coatzacoalcos and Real Refineros

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