Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Ciervos played?

Calor de San Pedro vs Ciervos is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Calor de San Pedro vs Ciervos: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, Reynosa

Calor de San Pedro

Ciervos

The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calor de San Pedro vs Ciervos?

Calor de San Pedro is a heavy favourite: 1,867 Elo points against 1,548, a 319-point gap.

Calor de San Pedro win79 %

Draw15 %

Ciervos win6 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calor de San Pedro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ciervos have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calor de San Pedro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 16, 2026	Deportiva Venados(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2026	Lobos ULMX(home)	4-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2026	Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Real Apodaca(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A

Ciervos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Chilpancingo(home)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026	FC Santiago(away)	0-5	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(home)	2-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026	Sporting Canamy(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 7, 2026	Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)	0-2	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Calor de San Pedro win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ciervos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Calor de San Pedro 3-1 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2025	Ciervos 1-2 Calor de San Pedro	Liga Premier Serie A
Jan 11, 2025	Calor de San Pedro 3-1 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie B
Sep 7, 2024	Ciervos 1-4 Calor de San Pedro	Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 23, 2023	Calor de San Pedro 4-0 Ciervos	Liga Premier Serie B
Sep 7, 2022	Ciervos 2-3 Calor de San Pedro	Liga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Calor de San Pedro vs Ciervos on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Calor de San Pedro	1.3	0.9	5	6/15	6/15
Ciervos	0.9	1.7	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Calor de San Pedro sit 5th in Liga Premier Serie A (44 points from 26 matches) and Ciervos sit 13th (18 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Calor de San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37	26	44
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20	50	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calor de San Pedro vs Ciervos?: The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Ciervos.
Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Ciervos played?: Calor de San Pedro vs Ciervos is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.