Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin: result 2-3 and analysis
Primera AClausura - 13Kick-off on September 27, 2025 at 11:20 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
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What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?
Independiente Medellin won 2-3 on September 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 9′M. GonzalezDeportes Tolima
- 41′M. GonzalezDeportes Tolima
- 45′L. BerríoIndependiente Medellin (pen.)
- 49′M. GarcíaIndependiente Medellin
- 63′L. BerríoIndependiente Medellin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Tolima have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bucaramanga(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Chico(home) | 4-0 | Primera A |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Llaneros(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Santa Fe(home) | 1-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Junior(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 3-3 | Primera A |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 3-1 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportes Tolima win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Independiente Medellin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 2-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Deportes Tolima 1-3 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| May 16, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 0-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Independiente Medellin 0-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 2-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 0-0 Independiente Medellin | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima on Jun 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Tolima score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Medellin score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Independiente Medellin | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Tolima sit 6th in Primera A (31 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 31 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2025Once Caldas5-2Chico
- Sep 27, 2025Fortaleza FC2-1Bucaramanga
- Sep 27, 2025Deportivo Pereira2-2Union Magdalena
- Sep 27, 2025Alianza Valledupar3-1Llaneros
- Sep 28, 2025Atletico Nacional2-0Millonarios
- Sep 28, 2025America de Cali1-1Envigado
- Sep 28, 2025Águilas Doradas3-1Deportivo Cali
- Sep 28, 2025Santa Fe3-0Internacional de Bogota