Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera AApertura - Quadrangular - 5Kick-off on June 15, 2025 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Full time
What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Medellin won 2-1 on June 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′L. BerríoIndependiente Medellin
- 70′G. LencinaDeportes Tolima
- 90′J. ArizalaIndependiente Medellin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Deportes Tolima have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2025 | Junior(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Junior(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 3-1 | Primera A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | America de Cali(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| May 25, 2025 | America de Cali(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2025 | America de Cali(away) | 3-1 | Primera A |
| Jun 7, 2025 | America de Cali(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Independiente Medellin(home) | 1-3 | Primera A |
| May 31, 2025 | Junior(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| May 25, 2025 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Independiente Medellin win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Deportes Tolima win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2025 | Deportes Tolima 1-3 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| May 16, 2025 | Independiente Medellin 0-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Independiente Medellin 0-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 2-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 0-0 Independiente Medellin | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 14, 2023 | Deportes Tolima 1-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin on Jun 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Tolima score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Deportes Tolima | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Deportes Tolima sit 6th (31 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 31 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy