Deportivo La Guaira vs Real Garcilaso: result 1-0 and analysis
CONMEBOL Libertadores1st RoundKick-off on January 23, 2019 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
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What was the result of Deportivo La Guaira vs Real Garcilaso?
Deportivo La Guaira won 1-0 on January 23, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 71′J. AzócarDeportivo La Guaira
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo La Guaira have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Real Garcilaso have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2018 | Deportivo Lara(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Deportivo Lara(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Deportivo Tachira FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Deportivo Tachira FC(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 7, 2018 | Zamora FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2018 | Ayacucho FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Universitario(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 6, 2018 | U. San Martin(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Academia Cantolao(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 31, 2018 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo La Guaira score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Garcilaso score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Guaira | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Garcilaso | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy