Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo Socialista, Puerto Cabello
The Footlab model makes Puerto Cabello the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Deportivo La Guaira. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Puerto Cabello (1,737) and Deportivo La Guaira (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puerto Cabello have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo La Guaira have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Estudiantes de Merida FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rayo Zuliano(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zamora FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Caracas FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Metropolitanos FC(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Zuliano(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zamora FC(home) | 6-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Caracas FC(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Metropolitanos FC(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Monagas SC(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Puerto Cabello win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Deportivo La Guaira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 Puerto Cabello | Primera División |
| May 3, 2026 | Puerto Cabello 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 Puerto Cabello | Primera División |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Puerto Cabello | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 Puerto Cabello | Primera División |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Puerto Cabello 3-1 Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puerto Cabello score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo La Guaira score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puerto Cabello | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puerto Cabello sit 8th in Primera División (17 points from 13 matches) and Deportivo La Guaira sit 1st (27 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 27 |
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 12 |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira?
- The Footlab model makes Puerto Cabello the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Deportivo La Guaira.
- Where and when is Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira played?
- Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.