Deportivo Petapa vs Aurora: result 4-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionAperturaKick-off on September 22, 2013 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Julio Armando Cóbar, San Miguel Petapa
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What was the result of Deportivo Petapa vs Aurora?
Deportivo Petapa won 4-1 on September 22, 2013.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Petapa have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aurora have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2013 | La Gomera(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 8, 2013 | San Pedro(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 1, 2013 | Deportivo Chiantla(away) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Ayutla(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 21, 2013 | Barillas(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2013 | Huehueteco(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 8, 2013 | Puerto San José(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 1, 2013 | La Gomera(away) | 2-7 | Primera Division |
| Aug 24, 2013 | San Pedro(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 21, 2013 | Deportivo Chiantla(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Petapa score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Petapa | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Aurora | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy