Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Fulham U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21?
Fulham U21 starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Fulham U21 have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 2-6 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hull City U21(home) | 1-4 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Brentford U21(away) | 0-2 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Reading U21(away) | 1-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Burnley U21(home) | 4-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Chelsea U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Derby County U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fulham U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Fulham U21 4-4 Derby County U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Fulham U21 4-0 Derby County U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Fulham U21 2-1 Derby County U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
Last archived meeting: Fulham U21 vs Derby County U21 on Oct 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Derby County U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County U21 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Fulham U21 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21?
- The Footlab model makes Fulham U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Derby County U21.
- Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21 played?
- Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21 is played on December 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21