Match

Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire

Derby County U21Fulham U21

The Footlab model makes Fulham U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21?

Fulham U21 starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,650).

Derby County U21 win25 %
Draw21 %
Fulham U21 win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Fulham U21 have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Derby County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026FC Halifax Town(away)2-6National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Hull City U21(home)1-4Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Carlisle(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026Brentford U21(away)0-2Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026Reading U21(away)1-4Premier League 2 Division One
Fulham U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Burnley U21(home)4-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Aldershot Town(away)2-2National League Cup
Aug 8, 2026Cardiff City U21(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Apr 24, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Chelsea U21(home)2-1Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Derby County U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fulham U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2025Fulham U21 4-4 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One
Dec 13, 2024Fulham U21 4-0 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One
Jan 12, 2024Fulham U21 2-1 Derby County U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Fulham U21 vs Derby County U21 on Oct 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Derby County U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Derby County U211.12.348/158/15
Fulham U212.31.6311/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Fulham U211100433

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21?
The Footlab model makes Fulham U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21 played?
Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21 is played on December 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Derby County U21 and Fulham U21

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