Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Fulham U21 the favourite at 53%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21?
Fulham U21 starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,604).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Derby County U21
4-3-3- 10C. Wilson
- 9J. Oguntolu
- 9Z. Marsh
- 7C. Smith
- 6M. Tola
- 11F. Jones
- 3K. Robinson
- 2I. Gordon
- 5A. Osayande
- 5Raymond Offor
- 1N. Bilokapić
Fulham U21
4-2-3-1- 18J. Kusi-Asare
- 47D. Casey
- 35M. Zepa
- 34C. Nwoko
- 45Seth Chingwaro
- 46Jayden Quashie
- 40B. Slade
- 42Logan Cooke
- 43N. Benchaita
- 41Markuss Gomins
- 39Michael Thomas Allen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fulham U21 have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brentford U21(away) | 2-4 | Premier League Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Burnley U21(away) | 1-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 3-1 | National League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 2-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 6, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 1-6 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chelsea U21(away) | 1-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 3-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Derby County U21 wins, 1 draw, 2 Fulham U21 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Fulham U21 4-4 Derby County U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Fulham U21 4-0 Derby County U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Fulham U21 2-1 Derby County U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
Last archived meeting: Fulham U21 vs Derby County U21 on Oct 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Derby County U21 score 1.6 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham U21 score 2.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County U21 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Fulham U21 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby County U21 sit 20th in Premier League 2 Division One (4 points from 4 matches) and Fulham U21 sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| 20 | Derby County U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fulham U21 the favourite at 53%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Derby County U21.
- Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21 played?
- Derby County U21 vs Fulham U21 is played on December 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21