Where and when is Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21 played?

Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on December 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Aggborough Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster, Worcestershire

Wolves U21

Derby County U21

The Footlab model makes Wolves U21 the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21?

Wolves U21 starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,647).

Wolves U21 win55 %

Draw21 %

Derby County U21 win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wolves U21 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Derby County U21 have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wolves U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Wealdstone(away)	3-1	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Burnley U21(home)	2-0	Premier League Cup
Jul 18, 2026	Macclesfield(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 24, 2026	AFC Bournemouth U21(away)	0-1	Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026	Newcastle United U21(away)	1-1	Premier League 2 Division One

Derby County U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	FC Halifax Town(away)	2-6	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Hull City U21(home)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Carlisle(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026	Brentford U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026	Reading U21(away)	1-4	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wolves U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Derby County U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 30, 2024	Derby County U21 4-1 Wolves U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 11, 2024	Derby County U21 1-2 Wolves U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Derby County U21 vs Wolves U21 on Sep 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Wolves U21 score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wolves U21	1.3	2.2	1	9/15	11/15
Derby County U21	1.1	2.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wolves U21 sit 22nd in Premier League 2 Division One (23 points from 20 matches) and Derby County U21 sit 24th (20 points from 20 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
22	Wolves U21	20	6	5	9	30	45	23
24	Derby County U21	20	5	5	10	26	44	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21?: The Footlab model makes Wolves U21 the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21 played?: Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on December 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Aggborough Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.