Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Wolves U21 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wolves U21 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21?
On Elo ratings, Wolves U21 has 1,623 points and Derby County U21 1,577.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wolves U21
4-3-3- 11Minkyu Ji
- 10T. Edozie
- 7E. González
- 8L. Rawlings
- 9Dani Ángel
- 6M. Bradbury
- 4A. White
- 2M. Dayman
- 5Wesley Okoduwa
- 14S. Lochhead
- 1J. Gracey
Derby County U21
4-3-3- 10C. Wilson
- 9J. Oguntolu
- 9Z. Marsh
- 7C. Smith
- 6M. Tola
- 11F. Jones
- 3K. Robinson
- 2I. Gordon
- 5A. Osayande
- 5Raymond Offor
- 1N. Bilokapić
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wolves U21 have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Derby County U21 have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Fleetwood Town U21(home) | 1-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Stoke City U21(away) | 0-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 8, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 0-3 | National League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brentford U21(away) | 2-4 | Premier League Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Burnley U21(away) | 1-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 3-1 | National League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wolves U21 win, 0 draws, 1 Derby County U21 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2024 | Derby County U21 4-1 Wolves U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Derby County U21 1-2 Wolves U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
Last archived meeting: Derby County U21 vs Wolves U21 on Sep 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Wolves U21 score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.6 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves U21 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby County U21 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wolves U21 sit 31st in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 3 matches) and Derby County U21 sit 20th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Derby County U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 31 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
A question about Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wolves U21 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Derby County U21.
- Where and when is Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21 played?
- Wolves U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on December 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Aggborough Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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