Match

Derby County W vs Bolton W: prediction and stats

FA Women's CupRound of 128Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Derby County WBolton W

The Footlab AI model makes Derby County W the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Bolton W. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Derby County W vs Bolton W?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Derby County W (1,949) and Bolton W (1,905).

48%21%31%
Derby County W winDrawBolton W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Derby County W vs Bolton W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Derby County W

4-3-3
  1. 11E. Ashton
  2. 19I. Sheridan
  3. 2A. Sims
  1. 23R. May
  2. 4C. Steggles
  3. 8E. Joyce
  1. 5S. Jackson
  2. 12C. Jenkins
  3. 10H. Ward
  4. 18M. Timms
  1. 1A. Draper

Bolton W

Not enough data to predict the Bolton W lineup.

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 11:35 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County W have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bolton W have 1, 1 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Derby County W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Sutton Coldfield Town W(away)1-1FA Women's Cup
Dec 14, 2025Sunderland W(home)1-5FA Women's Cup
Nov 23, 2025Stockport County W(home)4-1FA Women's Cup
Oct 26, 2025Coventry Sphinx W(away)6-0FA Women's Cup
Nov 3, 2024Leafield Athletic W(home)1-3FA Women's Cup
Bolton W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Harrogate Town W(away)3-1FA Women's Cup
Oct 26, 2025Ponteland United W(home)1-1FA Women's Cup
Oct 22, 2023Durham Cestria W(away)0-8FA Women's Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Derby County W score 2.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bolton W score 1.3 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Derby County W2.91.9212/1513/15
Bolton W1.33.302/32/3

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Derby County W vs Bolton W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Derby County W vs Bolton W?
The Footlab AI model makes Derby County W the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Bolton W.
Where and when is Derby County W vs Bolton W played?
Derby County W vs Bolton W is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the FA Women's Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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