Match

Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W: prediction and stats

FA Women's CupRound of 128Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Durham Cestria WMiddlesbrough W

The Footlab AI model makes Durham Cestria W the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Middlesbrough W. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Durham Cestria W (1,932) and Middlesbrough W (1,953).

47%21%32%
Durham Cestria W winDrawMiddlesbrough W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Durham Cestria W

Not enough data to predict the Durham Cestria W lineup.

Middlesbrough W

4-3-3
  1. 19R. Ferguson
  2. 18S. Burn
  3. 12E. Nelson
  1. 10L. Robson
  2. 23C. Callander
  3. 22G. Boyes
  1. 4Olivia Watt
  2. 17M. Bell
  3. 5E. Packham
  4. 6A. Towers
  1. 1Megan Borthwick

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 11:24 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Durham Cestria W have 7 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Middlesbrough W have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Durham Cestria W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Hull City W(home)3-2FA Women's Cup
Nov 23, 2025Mancunian Unity W(away)1-2FA Women's Cup
Oct 26, 2025Dronfield Town(home)6-1FA Women's Cup
Nov 24, 2024Chester-le-Street Town W(home)1-1FA Women's Cup
Nov 3, 2024Norton & Stockton W(home)4-0FA Women's Cup
Middlesbrough W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Huddersfield Town W(away)2-1FA Women's Cup
Jan 18, 2026Oxford United W(away)1-3FA Women's Cup
Dec 14, 2025Fylde W(home)3-0FA Women's Cup
Nov 23, 2025Northampton Town W(home)3-0FA Women's Cup
Oct 25, 2025Cheadle Town W(home)4-0FA Women's Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Durham Cestria W score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 14; Middlesbrough W score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Durham Cestria W2.21.647/149/14
Middlesbrough W2.11.776/1512/15

Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.

A question about Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W?
The Footlab AI model makes Durham Cestria W the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Middlesbrough W.
Where and when is Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W played?
Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the FA Women's Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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