Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W: prediction and stats
FA Women's CupRound of 128Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Durham Cestria W the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Middlesbrough W. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Durham Cestria W (1,932) and Middlesbrough W (1,953).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durham Cestria W
Not enough data to predict the Durham Cestria W lineup.
Middlesbrough W
4-3-3- 19R. Ferguson
- 18S. Burn
- 12E. Nelson
- 10L. Robson
- 23C. Callander
- 22G. Boyes
- 4Olivia Watt
- 17M. Bell
- 5E. Packham
- 6A. Towers
- 1Megan Borthwick
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 11:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Durham Cestria W have 7 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Middlesbrough W have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hull City W(home) | 3-2 | FA Women's Cup |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Mancunian Unity W(away) | 1-2 | FA Women's Cup |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Dronfield Town(home) | 6-1 | FA Women's Cup |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Chester-le-Street Town W(home) | 1-1 | FA Women's Cup |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Norton & Stockton W(home) | 4-0 | FA Women's Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Huddersfield Town W(away) | 2-1 | FA Women's Cup |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Oxford United W(away) | 1-3 | FA Women's Cup |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Fylde W(home) | 3-0 | FA Women's Cup |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Northampton Town W(home) | 3-0 | FA Women's Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Cheadle Town W(home) | 4-0 | FA Women's Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Durham Cestria W score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 14; Middlesbrough W score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durham Cestria W | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/14 | 9/14 |
| Middlesbrough W | 2.1 | 1.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
A question about Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Durham Cestria W the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Middlesbrough W.
- Where and when is Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W played?
- Durham Cestria W vs Middlesbrough W is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the FA Women's Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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