Derby vs Blackburn: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 20, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Blackburn?
Derby and Blackburn drew 1-1 on October 20, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 34′J. RhodesBlackburn
- 89′T. RobinsonDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Blackburn have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Brighton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Burnley(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Charlton(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Wolves(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2012 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Barnsley(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Blackburn score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Blackburn | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Blackburn sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Blackburn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy