Derby vs Brentford: result 1-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 43Kick-off on July 11, 2020 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Brentford?
Brentford won 1-3 on July 11, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 3′O. WatkinsBrentford
- 29′J. KnightDerby
- 49′S. BenrahmaBrentford
- 64′S. BenrahmaBrentford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Brentford have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2020 | West Brom(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jul 1, 2020 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jun 27, 2020 | Reading(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Millwall(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2020 | Charlton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Wigan(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Jun 30, 2020 | Reading(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Jun 26, 2020 | West Brom(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Fulham(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Brentford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2019 | Brentford 3-0 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Brentford 3-3 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Derby 3-1 Brentford | Championship |
| Feb 3, 2018 | Derby 3-0 Brentford | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2017 | Brentford 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Brentford 4-0 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Brentford | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy