Derby vs Bristol Rovers: result 2-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2023 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Bristol Rovers?
Derby won 2-1 on November 25, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 66′J. HuntDerby (o.g.)
- 87′C. MartinBristol Rovers
- 90′N. Mendez-LaingDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | Crewe(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Barnsley(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Wolves U21(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Crewe(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Northampton(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | Newport County(away) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Carlisle(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Reading(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Whitby Town(home) | 7-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Northampton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bristol Rovers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Bristol Rovers 1-1 Derby | League One |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Derby 4-2 Bristol Rovers | League One |
Last archived meeting: Bristol Rovers vs Derby on Apr 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 2.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy