Derby vs Bristol Rovers: result 4-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 29, 2022 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Bristol Rovers?
Derby won 4-2 on October 29, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 5′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 12′J. CollinsDerby
- 24′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 35′B. ThomasBristol Rovers
- 40′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 45′A. EvansBristol Rovers (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Ipswich(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Manchester City U21(home) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Accrington ST(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Port Vale(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Swindon Town(home) | 3-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Cheltenham(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 11, 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-0 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy