Derby vs Bristol Rovers: result 4-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 17Kick-off on October 29, 2022 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Bristol Rovers?
Derby won 4-2 on October 29, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 5′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 12′J. CollinsDerby
- 24′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 35′B. ThomasBristol Rovers
- 40′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 45′A. EvansBristol Rovers (pen.)
Official lineup for Derby vs Bristol Rovers
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Derby
4-2-2-2- 9J. Collins
- 10D. McGoldrick
- 18L. Dobbin
- 11N. Mendez-Laing
- 8M. Bird
- 4C. Hourihane
- 15H. Roberts
- 3C. Forsyth
- 6E. Cashin
- 12K. Smith
- 1J. Wildsmith
Bristol Rovers
4-3-3- 23L. McCormick
- 40J. Coburn
- 10A. Collins
- 14J. Rossiter
- 6S. Finley
- 21A. Evans
- 3L. Gordon
- 37B. Thomas
- 30L. Hoole
- 28J. Gibbons
- 1J. Belshaw
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Ipswich(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Manchester City U21(home) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Accrington ST(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Port Vale(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Swindon Town(home) | 3-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Cheltenham(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 11, 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-0 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Derby vs Bristol Rovers?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy