Derby vs Forest Green: result 4-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 17, 2022 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Forest Green?
Derby won 4-0 on December 17, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 5′N. Mendez-LaingDerby
- 21′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 69′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 87′D. McGoldrickDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Forest Green have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Newport County(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Portsmouth(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Nov 15, 2022 | Torquay(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Cambridge United(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Alvechurch(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 22, 2022 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Oxford United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Forest Green score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Forest Green | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy