Derby vs Forest Green: result 4-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 17, 2022 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Forest Green?
Derby won 4-0 on December 17, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 5′N. Mendez-LaingDerby
- 21′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 69′D. McGoldrickDerby
- 87′D. McGoldrickDerby
Official lineup for Derby vs Forest Green
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Derby
4-4-2- 9J. Collins
- 10D. McGoldrick
- 7T. Barkhuizen
- 8M. Bird
- 4C. Hourihane
- 11N. Mendez-Laing
- 17L. Sibley
- 6E. Cashin
- 3C. Forsyth
- 12K. Smith
- 1J. Wildsmith
Forest Green
3-4-1-2- 28J. March
- 18B. Fiabema
- 17K. McAllister
- 11H. Boyes
- 8R. Hendry
- 7B. Stevenson
- 2C. O'Keeffe
- 6B. Cargill
- 5O. Casey
- 3D. Bernard
- 1L. McGee
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Forest Green have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Newport County(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Portsmouth(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Nov 15, 2022 | Torquay(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Cambridge United(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Alvechurch(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 22, 2022 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Oxford United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Forest Green score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Forest Green | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Derby vs Forest Green?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy