Derby vs Leeds: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 15, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Leeds?
Derby won 1-0 on October 15, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 56′J. RussellDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Leeds have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2016 | Reading(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2016 | Cardiff(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Liverpool(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Bristol City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2016 | Barnsley(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2016 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2016 | Blackburn(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Cardiff(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Leeds win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2015 | Leeds 2-2 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Derby 1-2 Leeds | Championship |
| Dec 30, 2014 | Derby 2-0 Leeds | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Leeds 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| May 3, 2014 | Leeds 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Derby 3-1 Leeds | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Leeds | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy