Derby vs Leeds: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 5, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Leeds?
Derby won 3-1 on October 5, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 20′C. MartinDerby
- 23′J. RussellDerby
- 45′Jason Daniel PearceLeeds
- 78′W. HughesDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Leeds have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2013 | Ipswich(home) | 4-4 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Leicester(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Reading(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2013 | Bolton(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2013 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Millwall(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2013 | Newcastle(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Burnley(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2013 | Reading(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Derby win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leeds win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | Leeds 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Derby 3-1 Leeds | Championship |
| Apr 9, 2012 | Leeds 0-2 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2011 | Derby 1-0 Leeds | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Leeds | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy