Derby vs Leeds: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2011 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Leeds?
Derby won 1-0 on December 26, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 67′Jamie John WardDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Leeds have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | Ipswich(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Bristol City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 2, 2011 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Brighton(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2011 | West Ham(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | Reading(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Watford(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Millwall(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Barnsley(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Leeds | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy