Derby vs Lincoln: result 3-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 21, 2023 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Lincoln?
Derby won 3-1 on December 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 26′C. HourihaneDerby
- 45′D. MândroiuLincoln (pen.)
- 65′K. WilsonDerby
- 77′J. CollinsDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Lincoln have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Leyton Orient(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Port Vale(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | Reading(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Wigan(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Cambridge United(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Barnsley(home) | 2-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lincoln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2023 | Derby 2-0 Lincoln | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Derby 1-1 Lincoln | League One |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Lincoln 2-0 Derby | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Lincoln | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89 | 41 | 103 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy