Derby vs Lincoln: result 1-2 and analysis
League CupRound of 128Kick-off on August 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Lincoln?
Lincoln won 1-2 on August 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′B. HouseLincoln
- 23′D. JefferiesLincoln
- 45′S. SzmodicsDerby
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Derby win at 46%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Derby vs Lincoln
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Derby
4-2-3-1- 9C. Morris
- 33C. Blackett-Taylor
- 8B. Clark
- 11S. Szmodics
- 27L. Travis
- 29O. Fraulo
- 18C. Taylor
- 5M. Clarke
- 6S. Langås
- 23J. Ward
- 1J. Widell Zetterström
Lincoln
4-4-2- 34F. Draper
- 17R. Street
- 18B. House
- 24I. Varfolomeev
- 14C. McGrandles
- 16D. Jefferies
- 3A. Reach
- 25D. Elerewe
- 22T. Hamer
- 2T. Darikwa
- 1G. Wickens
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Lincoln have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Derby wins, 2 draws, 1 Lincoln win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Lincoln 0-0 Derby | League One |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Derby 3-1 Lincoln | League One |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Derby 2-0 Lincoln | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Derby 1-1 Lincoln | League One |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Lincoln 2-0 Derby | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Lincoln | 1.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Derby vs Lincoln?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy