Derby vs Lincoln: result 1-2 and analysis
League CupRound of 128Kick-off on August 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Lincoln?
Lincoln won 1-2 on August 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′B. HouseLincoln
- 23′D. JefferiesLincoln
- 45′S. SzmodicsDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Lincoln have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Lincoln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Lincoln 0-0 Derby | League One |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Derby 3-1 Lincoln | League One |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Derby 2-0 Lincoln | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Derby 1-1 Lincoln | League One |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Lincoln 2-0 Derby | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Lincoln | 1.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy