Derby vs Luton: result 2-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 5, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Luton?
Derby won 2-0 on October 5, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 11′M. PearsonDerby (o.g.)
- 70′T. LawrenceDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Luton have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2019 | Barnsley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Birmingham(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2019 | Cardiff(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2019 | Millwall(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Blackburn(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2019 | Leicester(home) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Hull City(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2019 | QPR(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Luton | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy