Derby vs Manchester United: result 1-3 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 29, 2016 at 07:55 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Manchester United?
Manchester United won 1-3 on January 29, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 16′W. RooneyManchester United
- 37′G. ThorneDerby
- 65′D. BlindManchester United
- 83′MataManchester United
Official lineup for Derby vs Manchester United
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Derby
- 9C. Martin
- 22Nick Blackman
- 15B. Johnson
- 18J. Butterfield
- 23T. Ince
- 34G. Thorne
- 37Stephen Warnock
- 2C. Christie
- 6R. Keogh
- 14J. Shackell
- 17S. Carson
Manchester United
- 9A. Martial
- 10W. Rooney
- 8Mata
- 27M. Fellaini
- 28M. Schneiderlin
- 35J. Lingard
- 12C. Smalling
- 17D. Blind
- 30G. Varela
- 43C. Borthwick-Jackson
- 1David de Gea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Manchester United have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2016 | Burnley(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Jan 16, 2016 | Birmingham(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2016 | Reading(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jan 9, 2016 | Hartlepool(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | Southampton(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2016 | Liverpool(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2016 | Newcastle(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 9, 2016 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Swansea(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Manchester United | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Derby vs Manchester United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy