Derby vs Manchester United: result 1-3 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 29, 2016 at 07:55 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Manchester United?
Manchester United won 1-3 on January 29, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 16′W. RooneyManchester United
- 37′G. ThorneDerby
- 65′D. BlindManchester United
- 83′MataManchester United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Manchester United have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2016 | Burnley(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Jan 16, 2016 | Birmingham(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2016 | Reading(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jan 9, 2016 | Hartlepool(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | Southampton(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2016 | Liverpool(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2016 | Newcastle(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 9, 2016 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Swansea(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Manchester United | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy