Manchester United vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Old Trafford, Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for RB Leipzig. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchester United vs RB Leipzig?
On Elo ratings, Manchester United has 2,267 points and RB Leipzig 2,215.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manchester United vs RB Leipzig
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manchester United
4-2-3-1- 30B. Šeško
- 18Y. Tielemans
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 19B. Mbeumo
- 17Andrey Santos
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 5H. Maguire
- 3N. Mazraoui
- 6Lisandro Martínez
- 1S. Lammens
RB Leipzig
4-2-3-1- 40Rômulo
- 7A. Nusa
- 21N. El Aynaoui
- 28C. Nkunku
- 10B. Gruda
- 6E. Banzuzi
- 4W. Orbán
- 22D. Raum
- 23C. Lukeba
- 17R. Baku
- 26M. Vandevoordt
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 05:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester United have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; RB Leipzig have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 4-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 1-6 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 6-0 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Manchester United win, 0 draws, 1 RB Leipzig win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2020 | RB Leipzig 3-2 Manchester United | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 28, 2020 | Manchester United 5-0 RB Leipzig | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs Manchester United on Dec 8, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester United score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| RB Leipzig | 2.3 | 1.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester United sit 20th in UEFA Champions League (3 points from 3 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 30th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
A question about Manchester United vs RB Leipzig?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchester United vs RB Leipzig?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for RB Leipzig.
- Where and when is Manchester United vs RB Leipzig played?
- Manchester United vs RB Leipzig is played on December 8, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Old Trafford, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.