Derby vs Reading: result 1-2 and analysis
FA Cup5th RoundKick-off on February 14, 2015 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Reading?
Reading won 1-2 on February 14, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 53′Thomas Henry Alex Robson-KanuReading
- 61′D. BentDerby
- 82′Yakubu AiyegbeniReading
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Reading have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | Bournemouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Bolton(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Cardiff(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jan 27, 2015 | Blackburn(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jan 24, 2015 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | Leeds(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Wolves(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jan 27, 2015 | Millwall(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jan 24, 2015 | Cardiff(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Reading win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | Reading 0-3 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2014 | Derby 2-0 Reading | League Cup |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Reading 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Derby 1-3 Reading | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2012 | Derby 0-1 Reading | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2011 | Reading 2-2 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Reading score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Reading | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy