Derby vs Southampton: result 2-2 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 5, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Southampton?
Derby and Southampton drew 2-2 on January 5, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 4′N. RedmondSouthampton
- 48′N. RedmondSouthampton
- 58′J. MarriottDerby
- 61′T. LawrenceDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Southampton have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2019 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2018 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 17, 2018 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2019 | Chelsea(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2018 | Manchester City(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2018 | West Ham(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Huddersfield(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Arsenal(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Southampton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | Southampton 4-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Derby 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 1.0 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Southampton | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy