Derby vs Southampton: result 2-2 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 5, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Southampton?
Derby and Southampton drew 2-2 on January 5, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 4′N. RedmondSouthampton
- 48′N. RedmondSouthampton
- 58′J. MarriottDerby
- 61′T. LawrenceDerby
Official lineup for Derby vs Southampton
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Derby
4-3-3- 14J. Marriott
- 41M. Bird
- 23D. Holmes
- 17G. Evans
- 10T. Lawrence
- 4Craig James Bryson
- 37J. Bogle
- 5F. Tomori
- 25M. Lowe
- 6R. Keogh
- 21K. Roos
Southampton
4-4-2- 10C. Austin
- 7S. Long
- 55C. Slattery
- 16J. Ward-Prowse
- 11M. Elyounoussi
- 22N. Redmond
- 33M. Targett
- 5J. Stephens
- 4J. Vestergaard
- 2Cédric Soares
- 28A. Gunn
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Southampton have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2019 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2018 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 17, 2018 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2019 | Chelsea(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2018 | Manchester City(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2018 | West Ham(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Huddersfield(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Arsenal(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Derby wins, 1 draw, 1 Southampton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | Southampton 4-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Derby 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 1.0 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Southampton | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Derby vs Southampton?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy