Derby vs Stevenage: result 1-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 17, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
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What was the result of Derby vs Stevenage?
Derby won 1-0 on February 17, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 90′L. SibleyDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Stevenage have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | Exeter City(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Charlton(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Reading(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 2-3 | League One |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Port Vale(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Reading(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Blackpool(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Wigan(away) | 3-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Derby win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Stevenage win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | Stevenage 3-1 Derby | League One |
| Jul 19, 2022 | Stevenage 1-0 Derby | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Stevenage | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy