Derby vs Swansea: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 1, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Swansea?
Derby won 2-1 on December 1, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 30′H. WilsonDerby
- 40′H. WilsonDerby
- 87′F. TomoriSwansea (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Swansea have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2018 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Birmingham(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Chelsea(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2018 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Norwich(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Bolton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Rotherham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Reading(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Swansea | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Swansea sit 9th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy