Derby vs Swansea: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 1, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Swansea?
Derby won 2-1 on December 1, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 30′H. WilsonDerby
- 40′H. WilsonDerby
- 87′F. TomoriSwansea (o.g.)
Official lineup for Derby vs Swansea
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Derby
4-3-3- 28D. Nugent
- 8M. Mount
- 7H. Wilson
- 10T. Lawrence
- 4Craig James Bryson
- 44T. Huddlestone
- 37J. Bogle
- 5F. Tomori
- 46S. Malone
- 6R. Keogh
- 1S. Carson
Swansea
3-4-2-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 10B. Celina
- 23C. Roberts
- 20D. James
- 21M. Grimes
- 27J. Fulton
- 22J. Rodon
- 17C. Carter-Vickers
- 5M. van der Hoorn
- 24D. John
- 25E. Mulder
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Swansea have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2018 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Birmingham(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Chelsea(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2018 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Norwich(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Bolton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Rotherham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Reading(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Swansea | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 23rd in Championship (6 points from 10 matches) and Swansea sit 1st (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Derby vs Swansea?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy