Desenzano Calvina vs Città di Varese: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 8Kick-off on October 23, 2022 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tre Stelle, Desenzano del Garda
Full time
What was the result of Desenzano Calvina vs Città di Varese?
Città di Varese won 0-1 on October 23, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 26′56227Città di Varese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Desenzano Calvina have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Città di Varese have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2022 | Caronnese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Arconatese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Brusaporto(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Breno(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Villa Valle(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2022 | Breno(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Varesina(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Real Calepina(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 28, 2022 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Seregno(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Desenzano Calvina score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Città di Varese score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desenzano Calvina | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Città di Varese | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy