Desenzano Calvina vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 35Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tre Stelle, Desenzano del Garda
The Footlab AI model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Desenzano Calvina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lumezzane wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Lumezzane?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Desenzano Calvina (1,862) and Lumezzane (1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Desenzano Calvina vs Lumezzane
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Desenzano Calvina
4-3-3- 77Filippo Liberati
- 9C. Santini
- 10V. Millico
- 43L. Lupano
- 24K. Biondi
- 30A. Procaccio
- 6T. Panelli
- 19A. Pilati
- 3L. Giorgi
- 70M. Parlato
- 1Stefano Minelli
Lumezzane
4-3-3- 77S. Diodato
- 11A. Ghillani
- 9T. Ebone
- 19M. Rolando
- 8M. Rocca
- 4F. Paghera
- 21J. Deratti
- 15M. Ndiaye
- 30A. Boffelli
- 42D. Baroncioni
- 13L. Andrenacci
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 08:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Desenzano Calvina have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lumezzane have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Novara(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Desenzano Calvina win, 0 draws, 1 Lumezzane win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | Lumezzane 0-1 Desenzano Calvina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Desenzano Calvina 0-1 Lumezzane | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Lumezzane vs Desenzano Calvina on Apr 1, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Desenzano Calvina score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desenzano Calvina | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Lumezzane | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Desenzano Calvina sit 13th in Serie C - Girone A (13 points from 13 matches) and Lumezzane sit 11th (16 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lumezzane | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
| 13 | Desenzano Calvina | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 13 |
A question about Desenzano Calvina vs Lumezzane?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Desenzano Calvina vs Lumezzane?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Desenzano Calvina.
- Where and when is Desenzano Calvina vs Lumezzane played?
- Desenzano Calvina vs Lumezzane is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tre Stelle, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.