Match

Alcione vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 35Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni

AlcioneNovara

The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcione wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcione vs Novara?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Alcione (1,777) and Novara (1,743).

45%27%28%
Alcione winDrawNovara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Alcione vs Novara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Alcione

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Morselli
  2. 98L. Zini
  3. 96S. Palombi
  1. 23G. Galli
  2. 18E. Lopes
  3. 10J. Pitou
  1. 25Filippo Pirola
  2. 4A. Miculi
  3. 5E. Sadotti
  4. 3P. Chierichietti
  1. 69L. Nava

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 14M. Romano
  2. 9D. Zuppel
  3. 7E. Lanini
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 11N. Ledonne
  1. 58M. Miceli
  2. 3S. Lartey
  3. 28A. Cannavaro
  4. 70A. Valdesi
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:01 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcione have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Novara have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcione
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Desenzano Calvina(home)4-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2026Lecco(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Trento(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Albinoleffe(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Union Brescia(home)0-4Serie C - Girone A
Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Alcione win, 1 draw, 3 Novara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Alcione 0-1 NovaraCoppa Italia Serie C
Mar 22, 2026Novara 3-0 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A
Nov 16, 2025Alcione 0-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Feb 9, 2025Novara 1-1 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A
Sep 28, 2024Alcione 2-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Novara on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alcione score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alcione1.41.6210/158/15
Novara1.11.147/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alcione sit 7th in Serie C - Girone A (15 points from 10 matches) and Novara sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Alcione10361171515
13Novara10244101410

A question about Alcione vs Novara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcione vs Novara?
The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Novara.
Where and when is Alcione vs Novara played?
Alcione vs Novara is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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