Desportiva ES vs Rio Branco ES: result 3-1 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 4Kick-off on February 12, 2020 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe, Cariacica, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Desportiva ES vs Rio Branco ES?
Desportiva ES won 3-1 on February 12, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Desportiva ES have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Rio Branco ES have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | Vitória ES(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Real Noroeste(home) | 0-2 | Capixaba |
| Jul 16, 2017 | Operario-PR(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 8, 2017 | Operario-PR(home) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 25, 2017 | Portuguesa(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | Serra Talhada(home) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 1, 2020 | São Mateus(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Itapemirim(home) | 3-2 | Capixaba |
| Apr 7, 2016 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 17, 2016 | Santa Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Desportiva ES score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rio Branco ES score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desportiva ES | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Rio Branco ES | 1.2 | 0.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Desportiva ES sit 6th in Capixaba (11 points from 9 matches) and Rio Branco ES sit 4th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rio Branco ES | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Desportiva ES | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Desportiva ES vs Rio Branco ES?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy