Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES: result 1-2 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 4Kick-off on February 12, 2020 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES?
Vitória ES won 1-2 on February 12, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Estrela do Norte have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Vitória ES have 8, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | Real Noroeste(away) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 3, 2020 | Rio Branco-VN(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Brasiliense(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Anapolina(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Itaporã(home) | 3-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | Desportiva ES(home) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 6, 2020 | CSA(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Serra Talhada(away) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Jan 25, 2020 | São Mateus(home) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Jul 6, 2019 | Ituano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela do Norte score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 10; Vitória ES score 1.2 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 7/10 | 6/10 |
| Vitória ES | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/14 | 4/14 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitória ES | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy