Desportivo Huíla vs Sagrada Esperança: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Provincial da Huíla (Ferroviário), Lubango
The Footlab model makes Desportivo Huíla the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Sagrada Esperança. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Desportivo Huíla vs Sagrada Esperança?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Desportivo Huíla (1,712) and Sagrada Esperança (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Desportivo Huíla have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Sagrada Esperança have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1º de Agosto(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | 1º de Maio(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Guelson FC(home) | 4-0 | Girabola |
| May 6, 2026 | Redonda FC(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Guelson FC(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Desportivo Huíla win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Sagrada Esperança win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança 0-0 Desportivo Huíla | Girabola |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Desportivo Huíla 1-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Sagrada Esperança 1-0 Desportivo Huíla | Girabola |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Desportivo Huíla 0-0 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| May 19, 2024 | Sagrada Esperança 3-0 Desportivo Huíla | Girabola |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Desportivo Huíla 1-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Sagrada Esperança vs Desportivo Huíla on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Desportivo Huíla score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sagrada Esperança score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desportivo Huíla | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Sagrada Esperança | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Desportivo Huíla sit 12th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Sagrada Esperança sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Desportivo Huíla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Sagrada Esperança | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Desportivo Huíla vs Sagrada Esperança?
- The Footlab model makes Desportivo Huíla the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for Sagrada Esperança.
- Where and when is Desportivo Huíla vs Sagrada Esperança played?
- Desportivo Huíla vs Sagrada Esperança is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Provincial da Huíla (Ferroviário), in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.