FC Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FC Luanda the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Sagrada Esperança. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate FC Luanda (1,568) and Sagrada Esperança (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, FC Luanda have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Sagrada Esperança have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Recreativo da Caála(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Guelson FC(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Luanda score 0.0 and concede 0.0 goals per match over their last 1; Sagrada Esperança score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Luanda | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| Sagrada Esperança | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Luanda sit 11th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Sagrada Esperança sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | FC Luanda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Sagrada Esperança | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança?
- The Footlab model makes FC Luanda the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Sagrada Esperança.
- Where and when is FC Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança played?
- FC Luanda vs Sagrada Esperança is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.